Commerce Questions & Answers Regarding the President’s 06/16/17 Cuba Policy Announcement

Commerce Questions & Answers
Regarding the President’s 06/16/17 Cuba Policy Announcement

1.    How will the Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) implement the changes to the Cuba sanctions program announced by the President on June 16, 2017? Are the changes effective immediately?

BIS will implement any Commerce-specific changes required by amending the Export Administration Regulations (EAR). The Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) will implement any necessary changes by amending its Cuban Assets Control Regulations (CACR). If amendments to the EAR are necessary, BIS will publish them in the coming months. None of the announced changes take effect until the new regulations are issued.

2.    Will the changes affect existing contracts and licenses?

If amendments to the EAR are required, they will be prospective and thus will not affect existing contracts and licenses.

3.    How will the changes affect travel by U.S. Persons to Cuba?

OFAC will implement any necessary changes affecting such travel via amendments to its CACR.

4.    Will aircraft and vessels carrying passengers to Cuba once again require a BIS license?

Aircraft and vessels departing the United States on temporary sojourn to Cuba will remain eligible for a license exception. Passengers must have appropriate authorization from OFAC.

5.    How will exporters know if their customer is connected to GAESA (Grupo de Administracion Empresarial de las Fuerzas Armadas) or any other prohibited parties?

The Department of State intends to publish a list that identifies prohibited entities.

6.    Will exports of agricultural products, medicine and medical devices be impacted?

Exports of agricultural products, medicine and medical devices are governed by statute and will not be impacted.

7.    Will exports in support of the Cuban people, including to private sector entrepreneurs, be restricted?

BIS does not anticipate that such exports will be restricted.

Complete Document In PDF Format
 

From The OFAC: Frequently Asked Questions on President Trump’s Cuba Announcement

June 16, 2017

Department of the Treasury Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC)

Frequently Asked Questions on President Trump’s Cuba Announcement

1.      How will OFAC implement the changes to the Cuba sanctions program announced by the President on June 16, 2017?  Are the changes effective immediately?

OFAC will implement the Treasury-specific changes via amendments to its Cuban Assets Control Regulations. The Department of Commerce will implement any necessary changes via amendments to its Export Administration Regulations. OFAC expects to issue its regulatory amendments in the coming months. The announced changes do not take effect until the new regulations are issued.

2.      What is individual people-to-people travel, and how does the President’s announcement impact this travel authorization?

Individual people-to-people travel is educational travel that: (i) does not involve academic study pursuant to a degree program; and (ii) does not take place under the auspices of an organization that is subject to U.S. jurisdiction that sponsors such exchanges to promote people-to-people contact. The President instructed Treasury to issue regulations that will end individual people-to-people travel. The announced changes do not take effect until the new regulations are issued.

3.      Will group people-to-people travel still be authorized?

Yes. Group people-to-people travel is educational travel not involving academic study pursuant to a degree program that takes place under the auspices of an organization that is subject to U.S. jurisdiction that sponsors such exchanges to promote people-to-people contact. Travelers utilizing this travel authorization must maintain a full-time schedule of educational exchange activities that are intended to enhance contact with the Cuban people, support civil society in Cuba, or promote the Cuban people’s independence from Cuban authorities, and that will result in meaningful interaction between the traveler and individuals in Cuba. An employee, consultant, or agent of the group must accompany each group to ensure that each traveler maintains a full-time schedule of educational exchange activities.

4.      How do the changes announced by the President on June 16, 2017 affect individual people-to-people travelers who have already begun making their travel arrangements (such as purchasing flights, hotels, or rental cars)?

The announced changes do not take effect until OFAC issues new regulations. Provided that the traveler has already completed at least one travel-related transaction (such as purchasing a flight or reserving accommodation) prior to the President’s announcement on June 16, 2017, all additional travel-related transactions for that trip, whether the trip occurs before or after OFAC’s new regulations are issued, would also be authorized, provided the travel-related transactions are consistent with OFAC’s regulations as of June 16, 2017.

5.      How do the changes announced by the President on June 16, 2017 affect other authorized travelers to Cuba whose travel arrangements may include direct transactions with entities related to the Cuban military, intelligence, or security services that may be implicated by the new Cuba policy?

The announced changes do not take effect until OFAC issues new regulations. Consistent with the Administration’s interest in not negatively impacting Americans for arranging lawful travel to Cuba, any travel-related arrangements that include direct transactions with entities related to the Cuban military, intelligence, or security services that may be implicated by the new Cuba policy will be permitted provided that those travel arrangements were initiated prior to the issuance of the forthcoming regulations.

6.      How do the changes announced by the President on June 16, 2017 affect companies subject to U.S. jurisdiction that are already engaged in the Cuban market and that may undertake direct transactions with entities related to the Cuban military, intelligence, or security services that may be implicated by the new Cuba policy?

The announced changes do not take effect until OFAC issues new regulations.  Consistent with the Administration’s interest in not negatively impacting American businesses for engaging in lawful commercial opportunities, any Cuba-related commercial engagement that includes direct transactions with entities related to the Cuban military, intelligence, or security services that may be implicated by the new Cuba policy will be permitted provided that those commercial engagements were in place prior to the issuance of the forthcoming regulations.

7.      Does the new policy affect how persons subject to U.S jurisdiction may purchase airline tickets for authorized travel to Cuba?

No. The new policy will not change how persons subject to U.S. jurisdiction traveling to Cuba pursuant to the 12 categories of authorized travel may purchase their airline tickets.

8.      Can I continue to send authorized remittances to Cuba?

Yes. The announced policy changes will not change the authorizations for sending remittances to Cuba. Additionally, the announced changes include an exception that will allow for transactions incidental to the sending, processing, and receipt of authorized remittances to the extent they would otherwise be restricted by the new policy limiting transactions with certain identified Cuban military, intelligence, or security services.  As a result, the restrictions on certain transactions in the new Cuba policy will not limit the ability to send or receive authorized remittances.

9.      How does the new policy impact other authorized travel to Cuba by persons subject to U.S. jurisdiction?

The new policy will not result in changes to the other (non-individual people-to-people) authorizations for travel.

Following the issuance of OFAC’s regulatory changes, travel-related transactions with prohibited entities identified by the State Department generally will not be permitted. Guidance will accompany the issuance of the new regulations.

10.  How will the new policy impact existing OFAC specific licenses?

The forthcoming regulations will be prospective and thus will not affect existing contracts and licenses.

11.  How will U.S. companies know if their Cuban counterpart is affiliated with a prohibited entity or sub-entity in Cuba?

The State Department will be publishing a list of entities with which direct transactions generally will not be permitted. Guidance will accompany the issuance of the new regulations. The announced changes do not take effect until the new regulations are issued.

12.  Is authorized travel by cruise ship or passenger vessel to Cuba impacted by the new Cuba policy?

Persons subject to U.S. jurisdiction will still be able to engage in authorized travel to Cuba by cruise ship or passenger vessel.

Following the issuance of OFAC’s regulatory changes, travel-related transactions with prohibited entities identified by the State Department generally will not be permitted. Guidance will accompany the issuance of the new regulations.

For more information on the National Security Presidential Memorandum visit: https://www.whitehouse.gov/blog/2017/06/16/fact-sheet-cuba-policy.

IN PDF FORMAT

Press Gaggle Aboard Air Force One On Way To Miami, Florida

THE WHITE HOUSE
Office of the Press Secretary
For Immediate Release
June 16, 2017
 
PRESS GAGGLE
BY MICHAEL ANTON, DEPUTY ASSISTANT TO THE PRESIDENT FOR STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS, NSC
AND A SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL
 
Aboard Air Force One
En Route Miami, Florida
  
Q    For the new Cuba policy, does that have anything to do with --
 
MR. ANTON: I’ll see if I can get my colleague. 
 
Q    I’m just wondering if you’re worried about Cuba being a staging ground for terrorists and that’s part of the reason for the new policy.
 
SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL: The only thing I’ll say on the Cuba policy here, for what it’s worth, is that the continuation of no wet foot, dry foot policy, of the ending of that policy is a good thing for not only the people who end being put in harm’s way, but for our border security. 
 
And outside of that, I am going to leave H.R. and the President, and Senator Rubio and others to do most of the talking on the Cuba policy today. 
 
Thank you very much.  Thanks, all.
 
 * * * *
 
     MR. ANTON:  Look, I can't talk about stuff beyond the NSC purview that I have.  So for DACA, I’ve got to refer you to the White House Press Office, which everybody is there.
 
(Goes off the record.)
 
(Returns on the record.)
 
     Q    On the Cuba announcement today, you guys are doing it during a meeting of a lot of Latin American leaders who have been against changing the Obama administration policy.  Some might see this as a slap in the face to them during this meeting.  Why the timing?
 
     MR. ANTON:  The timing -- there’s nothing intentional about the timing.  It’s not a slap in the face.  This is something -- we hope we can get support from other Latin American leaders for this policy, and we’ll be -- we think this is a policy that favors the Cuban people over and against an oppressive regime.  And we hope that we can garner other support from leaders in the region.
 
     Q    Mike, explain the significance of the location.  The theater is named after the man who led the Bay of Pigs invasion.  There’s the notion that this is provocative.
 
     MR. ANTON:  The President spoke at this same location in October of 2016 in a campaign event.  He was also the only presidential candidate ever endorsed by this group of either party in any election.  He was grateful for that endorsement.  He’s inspired by the courage shown by the leaders of the Bay of Pigs invasion, and he’s honored to go back and stand with them again to make this announcement.
 
     Q    The changes that are being talked about seem relatively small compared to what you could have done.  How is that going to -- are the folks going to be happy with that?
 
     MR. ANTON:  I don't think I would classify them as small.  I think the changes are very targeted, and the changes are specific, and they have a clear intent, which is to put pressure on the regime and to support the people.  That's why the embassy, for instance, will remain open.  That's why -- travel will remain permitted, but travel will be permitted that's consistent with U.S. law and that falls under one of the 12 categories that we think are intended to help develop civil society, develop a free economy, develop a private sector, small businesses, and so on.
 
     Q    The President said in a statement today that he was under investigation.  How was he made aware of that?  
 
     MR. ANTON:  I going to refer you to the White House Press Office.
 
     Q    Michael, if you're an American wanting to travel to Cuba, what will you need to do before going?
 
     MR. ANTON:  Well, as I said, there are 12 categories of permissible travel under the law.  The regulations will be in the process of being changed after this policy takes effect once the President signs it today.
 
     We don't have a hard date for when all of those regulations will be published.  Some will be published by Treasury, some by the State Department.  You will need to consult with those agencies to figure out whether your specific trip and purpose are permissible under the law.
 
     Q    How do you square the President’s focus on human rights in Cuba with his apparent lack of interest in human rights in other countries. 
 
     MR. ANTON:  I dispute that he has a lack of interest in human rights in other countries.  It’s true that the President approaches the question of human rights in different ways, depending on the relationship the United States has with a particular country.  For instance, the United States has a strong security relationship with Egypt.  The President was proud to welcome President el-Sisi of Egypt to the White House, where he discussed in private his concerns about human rights.  And very shortly thereafter, the Egyptians released an American they had held for -- if I recall correctly -- nearly three years.
 
     So he takes a different tack depending on the nature of the relationship between the two countries, but his concern is consistent no matter what the country.
 
     Q   -- in his speech -- just what we're expected to hear today from him?
 
     MR. ANTON:  I think you're going to hear strong support for the Cuban people, a strong condemnation of the regime and its practices, and an outline of what the policy does and is intended to do.
 
     Q    Is he going to list the benchmarks that Cuba needs to do for better relations with the United States?
 
     MR. ANTON:  I wouldn’t call it a list, but he will certainly refer to the policy change that he would like to see the Cuban regime take.
 
     Q    And what are those?
 
     MR. ANTON:  Great political and economic freedom.  I would say everything that he’s asking for is lumped under those categories.  He will call for them to release political prisoners.  He will call for them to return U.S. fugitives from justice back to the United States so that they can face justice in the United States.  He will call for Cuba to liberalize its economy, to strengthen the private sector, and to take steps toward greater democratic participation for its people.
 
     Q    Do you expect the policy to change which hotels Americans will be able to, under the law, to stay in in Cuba?  In which hotels --
 
     MR. ANTON:  Hotels, but also not just hotels, also other businesses that are linked to the military, the intelligence services and the Cuban security apparatus will not permissible to transact business with.  And that's one of the things that's going to be worked out as the regulations are finalized.
 
     The State Department will eventually be publishing lists that make that clear where people -- what’s permissible and what’s not permissible.
 
     Q    Can you address what the administration is doing to get to the bottom of what happened to Otto Warmbier in North Korea and how it is that he was returned to the U.S. in a coma?
 
     MR. ANTON:  I can't say anything, I think, beyond what we have said about it.  I think we've given some detailed information about the discussions that led to that release.  And I think you also know that the President spoke to the family, I guess, two evenings ago now.  But the family has asked for privacy beyond that, and so we're just not commenting further than that.
 
     Q    But is the U.S. satisfied with the explanation that North Korea gave that it was botulism and then a sleeping pill that led to his current condition?
 
     MR. ANTON:  I don't have anything further about that.  I think we are glad that Otto is home with his family.  We're certainly very concerned about his current status.  And we're trying to respect the family's wishes for privacy beyond that.
 
     Q    Michael, is the President willing to have talks with the Cuban leadership?
 
     MR. ANTON:  Well, look, the United States talks to the Cuban government and we're keeping the embassy open, as I've noted.  So those talks will continue.  In terms of higher-level talks, there's no discussion of that at this time, but our government remains open to speaking at higher levels if we see progress toward the goals that the President has outlined.  But I'm not going to prejudge that or promise anything or set specific conditions for which leader at which level might speak.
 
     Q    Why will these changes help bring about change in Cuba when decades of a full embargo did not change significantly the human rights record?
 
MR. ANTON:  Well, our hope is that these people-to-people contacts that are allowed under specific rules and the ability of Americans to travel there and meet Cubans, directly support Cuban small businesses, directly support Cuban private enterprise, directly support dissidents will strengthen the Cuban private sector, strengthen Cuban civil society, and lead to popular pressure for positive change.
 
Q    Does that mean you agree, essentially, with the Obama administration's posture toward Cuba, even though you're refining the policy?  Because those are similar arguments that they made.
 
MR. ANTON:  No, I think the President was very, very clear that he thinks the Obama administration's deal wasn't much of a deal at all.  It was the United States giving the Cuban regime most, if not all, of what it had wanted for the past half-a-century without getting anything in return for the Cuban people.  And this policy is a necessary change to address the deficiencies that the President outlined in the Obama policy.
 
Q    Can you tell us who is aboard?
 
MR. ANTON:  Senator Rubio is aboard.  Congressman Mario Diaz-Balart is aboard.  Secretary Perdue, of Agriculture, is aboard.  Secretary Ross, Commerce.  Secretary Acosta of Labor.  And Representative Curbelo -- I hope I didn't pronounce that wrong.  Those are the -- aside from the senior staff, those are the -- so we have three members of Congress and I guess three Cabinet Secretaries.
 
Q    Is Reince on the plane?
 
MR. ANTON:  Reince is not on the plane.
 
Q    Will the President do anything in Miami besides the speech and signing the directive?
 
MR. ANTON:  He will meet with veterans of the Bay of Pigs and some -- there's a private meet-and-greet that's not open press with some Cuban --
 
Q    From the group that endorsed him last year?
 
MR. ANTON:  And other Cuban-American leaders in Miami.
 
Q    Will anybody from the administration today be able to answer questions on DACA and DAPA and the President's statements regarding the investigation?
 
MR. ANTON:  I would refer you, again, back to the White House Press Office, which is fully manned and ready to take your questions. 
 
Thanks.
 
END

Why Can President Trump Do What He May Do? Because The Obama Administration & Government Of Cuba Let Him

If the Obama Administration and government of Cuba had modeled for an election outcome other than a victory for Hillary Clinton, instead of President Trump visiting Miami, Florida, on 16 June 2017 to deliver a speech about his revised vision for the relationship between the United States and Cuba, he would be visiting to enjoy a round of golf.

The only reason for the Trump Administration to have a pathway to implement bilateral, and potentially multilateral impactful changes to the United States-Cuba commercial, economic and political relationship is due the lack of effort by the Obama Administration and the government of Cuba.  The result has been both tragedy and irony.

If the Obama Administration and government of Cuba had modeled an outcome other than for the election of Hillary Clinton in November 2016, the landscape in Cuba created by United States companies would have been solidified; making disruption demonstrably less rhetorically and optically enticing.

Let’s remember that the Obama Administration did not permit direct correspondent banking, which would have created a straight-line payment process for exports (including services) to and imports (including services) from Cuba.  The payment process remains triangular, through third countries, for no statutory reason.

Let’s remember that the Obama Administration permitted one commodity and one agricultural product to be imported for commercial use from the Republic of Cuba to the United States- coffee and charcoal.  There was no statutory reason for the limitation.

Let’s remember that during the eight years of the Obama Administration, there were only two, yes two meetings to discuss the issue of the 5,913 certified claims against the government of Cuba for the expropriation of the assets of companies and individuals.  Those claims were valued at US$1.9 billion but are now valued at approximately US$8 billion.  The Obama Administration said the issue of the certified claimants was a “high priority.”  Two meetings, not negotiations, but two meetings in two years- and there was not a second meeting scheduled after the first meeting and not a third meeting scheduled after the second meeting.  That’s not how most companies define a high priority.

During 2015 and 2016, Members of Congress and advocacy organizations misused valuable days advocating for legislation that had no expectation of becoming law.  They should have been focusing upon seeking further regulatory changes from the Obama Administration and used their perceived and self-marketed relationships with officials of the government of Cuba to obtain greater acceptance of Obama Administration initiatives.

Where the United States business community is today, 15 June 2017, and were it will be as of 16 June 2017, is a result of widespread misapplication of commercial, economic and political resources.

The Three Most [Politically] Dangerous Locations On Friday Accompanying President Trump To Florida

The three (3) most [politically] dangerous locations on Friday will be accompanying President Donald J. Trump on his visit to Florida...

First, aboard Air Force One as invited advocates (i.e. Members of Congress) jostle to be the last individual to visit with the President in his cabin so as to influence his final choice of words.

Second, on the stairway upon arrival to Miami International Airport (MIA), as those advocates jostle downward to be first into an available seat in The Beast.

Third, near the teleprompter at the Manuel Artime Theater in Miami, Florida, in the moments before President Trump commences his speech, as advocates jostle to change the words that the President will view on the screen.  Whomever is operating the teleprompter might consider seeking protection from the United States Secret Service! 

Special Report: Economic Eye On Cuba Monthly Export Report & Company Lists

ECONOMIC EYE ON CUBA©
June 2017

April 2017 Food/Ag Exports To Cuba Decreased 1% - 1
Healthcare Product Exports Were US$91,100.00- 2
Humanitarian Donations Were US$377,289.00- 2
Obama Administration Initiatives Product Exports- 3
U.S. Port Export Data- 14
U.S. Companies With A Presence In Cuba- 15
United States Companies Exporting Products To The Republic Of Cuba- 17

 

COMPLETE REPORT IN PDF FORMAT

It's Official: The President's Going To Miami On Friday; What He Will Say Is Not

THE WHITE HOUSE
Office of the Press Secretary
14 June 2017

 
Guidance for President Donald J. Trump’s Air Force One Arrival in Miami, Florida
 
Who: President Donald J. Trump
What: President Donald J. Trump Air Force One Arrival
Where: Miami International Airport, Miami, Florida
When: Friday, June 16, 2017 at 12:30PM EDT

Could This Be President Trump's Message About Cuba On Friday In Florida?

Could President Trump Say This About Cuba On Friday?  It's Possible....
NOTE: It’s Not What United States Companies Want

The White House
Washington, DC
16 June 2017

Remarks By Donald J. Trump
Miami, Florida

Applause

Thank you.  Thank you everybody.  It’s great to be back in Miami.

I just arrived on Air Force One with some Members of Congress how I think you know:

Senators Cruz, Menendez and Rubio; and Members of the House of Representatives Curbelo, Diaz-Balart, and Ros-Lehtinen.  They each have a special connection to Cuba and that’s why I invited them to be here with me… and with you.  

We had an opportunity to discuss many things during the trip.  This is a passionate group.  I love passionate people.

Ileana is retiring next year; let’s thank her for her almost thirty years of service to our great country.  Thank you, Ileana.

And, we are joined by my friend and your great governor, Rick Scott.

Also with me are very important members of my Cabinet: Secretary of the Treasury Mnuchin and Secretary of Homeland Security Kelly.  Their departments will be central to my efforts to bring prosperity to the 11.3 million citizens of Cuba along with Secretary Ross at the Department of Commerce.  And, Secretary Tillerson at the Department of State will be integral in linking all that we do with successful diplomatic efforts.  They are the new sheriffs in town.

Florida has been very good to me; my second home really.  I love the people of Florida.  All of you!  A very special place.

There have been a lot of rumors since 9 November 2016- will Donald Trump reverse everything, will Donald Trump do nothing.  Well, today we work to make a bad deal into a good deal.  Into a very very good deal.  

Know this- my focus is on helping to create better lives for the 11.3 million citizens of Cuba. They have been repressed for far too long.  They need to be free.

On Monday, CNN quoted an unnamed official from the government of Cuba talking about “negotiating” with the United States.  See, I haven’t done anything yet and they know that they have to make a better deal.  And, I see that the government of Cuba uses Twitter!  

My friends, that’s what happens when you negotiate from a position of strength instead of a position of weakness, as the Obama Administration did with Cuba. 

Most importantly, don’t make a mistake and think that just because you did not hear me say it today that I will not have more to say during the next months and years.  I will continue to review the impact of what has been done.  If more is required, more will be implemented.

Separating placing pressure on the government of Cuba and trying not to inflict harm on the people of Cuba is not easy; and it’s not an easy decision for a president.

Despite what some pundits and lobbyists and advocates say, one-size-policy-for-all does not work.  Each country is different, and where we can support to bring change, we will support.  Where we must pressure to bring change, we will pressure.  I can tell you this: I will not be pressured.

There are some in the United States Congress who want me to be tough, very tough. There are three members of the United States Senate who are of Cuban descent and three members of the United States House of Representatives who are of Cuban descent.

There are some members of the Cuban-American community who want me to be tough.  I hear you.

Everyone has compelling stories… and the importance of those stories are not lost upon me.  I ask that you not judge me only on what you hear today. 

913 days ago, after months of secret negotiations, President Obama and President Castro announced the re-establishment of diplomatic relations between our two countries.  

Do you remember that moment?  President Obama wore a suit, stood at a podium and used 2,283 words.  President Castro sat at a desk, wore a military uniform and used 682 words. That should have been a hint to everyone about the differences each leader viewed the moment.

During the final twenty-five (25) months of the Obama Administration, there continued a series of unilateral, one-way-benefiting policy changes and regulatory changes which I believe provided far more to the government of Cuba than to the people of the United States.  

It was a bad deal.  I know a good deal from a bad deal.  President Obama made a bad deal. He sent very inexperienced staff to negotiate with very experienced representatives of the government of Cuba.  That won’t happen again. 

The only reason that the Trump Administration has the political will to consider making changes to Obama Administration initiatives is due to how little the government of Cuba permitted United States companies to do within Cuba....  And, how little the Obama Administration did to secure the position of United States companies… And, how the Obama Administration allowed the government of Cuba to take advantage of us- when there were opportunities to receive revenue, they said yes; when an opportunity might cost them money or challenge their control, they said no.

Reports are false (fake news again) that United States companies would lose billions of dollars in revenues and thousands of jobs if I were to rescind the Obama Administration giveaways.  

Do any United States companies have manufacturing plants in Cuba?  No.  Do any United States companies have distribution centers in Cuba?  No.  Do any United States companies have substantive offices in Cuba?  No.  Believe me, I wish they did- under the right circumstances.    

And, those who believe Russia and China will be the saviors of Cuba and take all the best deals.  They are just trying to juice-up a false-narrative.  I know about promotion; that’s all it is. 

For anyone to believe that Russia and China will get all the best deals and United States companies will be left behind accepts the position that Cuba has reached its potential.  It has not.  Potential does not have an end, a limit.  Potential is a continuum- it’s always changing, never stagnant.  We strive to be better and better and better.  

As Cuba moves from one potential to another potential, United States companies will be there in droves with good deals in hand and prepared to accept good deals to benefit the people of Cuba.

We can’t let the government of Cuba define potential.  I won’t do that.

Important not to forget that the government of Cuba, primarily because of the inefficient ways it chooses to manage its economy, owes money to everyone and always wants governments (and their taxpayers) to support them.  That’s a model of failure, not a model of success.  We like success.  

And, any decreases in opportunities for United States companies in the short-term will be negated by the tremendous opportunities that will be created when we help the Cuban people reach for ever-higher potential.  

The government of Cuba fears their citizens reaching for anything.  We will provide the ladders for success and for freedom.

This may sound strange, but I wish rescinding any of the Obama Administration giveaways would result in United States companies losing billions in revenue and thousands of jobs- with some of those jobs in Cuba.  Because then I would not need to do anything.  

If the Obama Administration had made a better deal, United States companies would be exporting more, importing more, staffing offices and factories in Havana with Americans and with Cubans- who would be directly hired and directly paid by those companies.  Havana and Holguin and Camaguey and Santiago de Cuba could have looked so much different…. So different.   

If the Obama Administration had made a better deal, United States companies would be exporting directly to Cubans who brave the unnecessary and stifling bureaucracy of the government of Cuba to establish independent businesses.

I heard this on the plane before I arrived today: 

A hair salon can cut and style hair for customers, but can’t sell shampoo to customers. The hair salon and the customers purchase their products at the same retail stores and pay the same price.  No wholesale markets!  That’s nuts.  

The government of Cuba tolerates private enterprise.  The government of the United States embraces private enterprise.  I say to President Castro- Let us in.  Let us help.  Let us compete. 

Let’s remember that the government of Cuba limits types of independent businesses to a list of approximately 200.  That’s just plain stupid.  It shows that the private sector to the government of Cuba is a game to be played as needed.  That the private sector to the government of Cuba is a show-toy.  That needs to change.  And I am looking to many of you to help me to that with the people of Cuba.

Developing policies towards countries is not an exercise in one-size-fits-all; it’s important to evaluate where the United States has leverage and where it does not; and then how to use that leverage to harness opportunities for success, while minimizing harm.

For Cuba, the government of Cuba, it no longer can count upon Venezuela to provide it with donations, grants, discounts, and subsidies.  Due to the lower values for oil and natural gas, those countries that paid next to nothing to the Cuban citizens who were sent by their government to work for them, while the government of Cuba took most of the wages, don’t have the ability to continue with those contracts.  That’s good for the Cuban people.  Force the government of Cuba to make changes to its commercial, economic and political structures to give space for the private sector- and the jobs the private sector will create.

The government of Cuba needs to stop eternally seeking a knight in shining armor to rescue them from having to change their commercial, economic and political systems. Cuba looks as it does today not because it works; it looks as it does only because others prop it up.  That’s not a good business model.  

Almost two million people of Cuban descent reside in the United States, and many of those citizens and residents arrived through a hallowed place here in Miami, The Freedom Tower. It’s not too far from here.  

How magnificent would it be, and I believe will be, for everyone of Cuban descent to be able to travel freely to the country of your birth, the country of your ancestors?  To conduct business with and to invest in the country that is so much a part of your DNA?

The government of Cuba needs to cease being afraid of its people, cease being afraid of its exile community, cease being afraid of change.  

I call upon President Castro during his remaining 254 days in office to unleash the potential of his citizens- don’t fear what they can accomplish without your interference, rejoice in what they can do independent of your interference. 

It’s not for the government of Cuba to determine a person’s worth, determine what they can or can’t do, what type of business they can manage- the decision about a person’s worth is for them to decide.  Governments can help, but they must know when to get out of the way.

I call upon Vice President Diaz-Canel, who will become president of Cuba on 24 February 2018, to begin his first term in office by: Ending political persecution, permitting free expression, permitting free elections, permitting a private sector to flourish, and permitting the United States to be the tremendous friend that we are prepared to be to the people of Cuba.

If our two governments can make progress during these next months, then how terrific would it be for President Diaz-Canel to visit with me and Vice President Pence at The White House?  

Much would have to happen before that meeting could happen, but I am open to it and would welcome it.  I’ve got about 1,300 days remaining in my first term, so there’s time….  But, since there’s much to do, let’s try to get it done soon…… I think that you know I am a rather impatient person.

What it did

The Obama Administration re-opened the embassies, dramatically increased the number of visitors to Cuba and dramatically increased the amount of money going to Cuba.  The government of Cuba earned and saved what has been estimated at up to US$12 billion since 2014.  

More money is flowing into the hands of members of the Communist Party and military; we are going to put an end to that.  

What has not happened

Has the government of Cuba increased purchases of food products, agricultural commodities and healthcare products from the United States in a meaningful way?  No.  

Have companies in the United States exported to Cuba a fraction of the products and services that were authorized by the Obama Administration?  No.   

Some Members of Congress want to permit payment terms for agricultural commodities and food products to Cuba; currently United States law requires cash-in-advance; that’s a way to make certain that United States companies aren’t standing in line with everyone else that Cuba owes money to.

I am generally OK with supporting payment terms- if they are not linked to anything else: meaning no access to any United States government financing, payment or guarantee programs.  And, no linkage to any other issue- like tourist travel to Cuba or settling the certified claims.

What it did not do & What I Want

During the eight years of the Obama Administration, there were only two, yes two meetings to discuss the issue of the 5,913 certified claims against the government of Cuba for the expropriation of the assets of companies and individuals.  Those claims were valued at US$1.9 billion but are now valued at approximately US$8 billion.

The Obama Administration said the issue of the certified claimants was a “high priority.”  Well, they had two meetings, not negotiations, but two meetings in two years- and there was not a second meeting scheduled after the first meeting and not a third meeting scheduled after the second meeting.  That’s crazy.

Today, I am announcing that a formal Negotiating Team will be appointed and the government of Cuba will be notified that no expanded commercial engagement or changes to our international financial enforcement programs will be permitted until the issue of the certified claims are settled. 

And, I will not support any legislation that would have United States taxpayers repaying United States companies for actions of the government of Cuba.  That’s a very bad deal.

The government of Cuba should immediately return United States citizens who fled to Cuba in order to escape justice, especially Joanne Chesimard should be brought to justice in New Jersey in connection with the brutal murder of a police officer.    

I love that United States companies are in Cuba; they should be.  The problem is we as a nation should not be encouraging the development of a military-state that is 93 miles south of Key West, Florida.

Havana should not be the home to companies controlled by the military and should not be the home to a government controlled by the military.  Companies should be controlled by individuals and governments should be controlled by citizens.

What I won’t accept

I believe that our citizens should visit Cuba- to help change it.  The “it” is not the people.  The “it” is the type of government.

I’m going to discourage visitors from dealings with the military in Cuba.  The Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (known as “OFAC”) will publish a list of companies in Cuba that are controlled by the military; and some of these companies will be restricted from any transactions with United States individuals and companies.

If you are traveling to Cuba, and only those who are authorized should do so, then choose carefully- try to have your money go directly to the Cuban people.

We continue to consider prohibiting self-directed travel and returning to requiring visitors to be a part of organized groups.  

Too many people are hopping on planes, staying in government-owned hotels, eating in government-owned restaurants, using government-owned transportation… for a vacation.  Folks, tourism is illegal.  It’s the law.

A note about travel.  There will be increased enforcement and that will be through the efforts of the brave men and women who work for Customs and Border Protection (CBP) at the Department of Homeland Security.  And Secretary Kelly, who is here with us, is doing an amazing job.

When travelers return to the United States from Cuba, be prepared to show all the required documents- if you are going under the educational category or people-to-people category, I am warning you now- know what you must have.  Check the OFAC’s web site.  If you don’t have what you are supposed to have, don’t be shocked if you are delayed and miss your connecting flight.

And, if you are returning with cigars and rum, our great inspectors from the USDA might want to take a look….

I’m going to discourage United States companies from dealings with the military in Cuba.  If a United States company wants to work with a company in Cuba that is controlled by the military, then it will have to prove to Secretary Mnuchin and to Secretary Ross that the deal will benefit the Cuban people, rather than entrench the military within the commercial sectors of Cuba.

If a United States company wants to get into bed with the Cuban military, then be prepared to demonstrate how that will result in more freedom for the Cuban people rather than more prosperity for generals in Cuba.

In Conclusion

During the campaign, I made statements about my intentions relating to Cuba. During the transition, I made statements about my intentions relating to Cuba.  Since the inauguration, I have made statements about my intentions relating to Cuba.  However, until today, I have not done anything.

Simply with my statements, the government of Cuba has been impacted. Governments and companies and financial institutions in other countries (an in the United States) have remained hesitant to engage with Cuba or to announce new engagements.

See what happens when I don’t do anything; now see what happens when I do something.

I’m putting other countries on notice- don’t take or use assets that were stolen; don’t help the government of Cuba avoid its problems; don’t think that by going-along-to-get-along with the government of Cuba is helping the people of Cuba, who are victims of almost sixty years of abuse; and do help change the behavior of the government of Cuba. 

To the young people of Cuba- the future of Cuba, know that the United States will work as hard as possible to help you do what you want to do, not what your government tells you to do.

At the right moment, I will visit Cuba… to honor your sacrifice, honor your perseverance, and honor your heritage.  

Thank you.  And, God Bless America.

LINK TO COMPLETE TEXT IN PDF FORMAT

Which US Company May (But Hopefully Won't) Have A “Big-League” PR Problem? Starwood/Marriott

If (and it remains uncertain) the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) of the United States Department of the Treasury does not rescind or require modification of the license issued in 2016 to Stamford, Connecticut-based Starwood Hotels and Resorts Worldwide (a subsidiary of Bethesda, Maryland-based Marriott International), both companies may be in a potentially untenable position due to the Trump Administration’s expected efforts to discourage transactions with entities affiliated with and/or controlled by the Revolutionary Armed Forces of the Republic of Cuba (FAR).  LINK: http://foresightcuba.com/grupos-empresariales-del-minfar/

For the Trump Administration, the goal may be to elicit from all of the forty-nine (49) United States companies (LINK TO LIST) with a presence in the Republic of Cuba answers to the following questions: Will they change the Republic of Cuba or will they be changed by the Republic of Cuba?  Will they be agents for change or agents for the status quo?

In 2016, the Obama Administration directed the OFAC to issue a license to Starwood Hotels and Resorts Worldwide for a multi-year management agreement (the term of which has not been disclosed) with Republic of Cuba government-operated Gaviota (controlled by FAR/GAESA) which owns the Hotel Quinta Avenida (re-branded as Four Points Sheraton Havana on 27 June 2016).

In 2016, the Obama Administration directed the OFAC to issue a license to Starwood Hotels and Resorts Worldwide for a multi-year management agreement (the term of which has not been disclosed) with Republic of Cuba government-operated Gran Caribe (not controlled by FAR/GAESA) to manage the Hotel Inglaterra and transform it into a member of the Luxury Collection.  The implementation of the management contract has been delayed for unannounced reasons from December 2016 to December 2017 and recently to December 2019.

In 2016, Starwood Hotels and Resorts Worldwide reported signing a Letter of Intent with Republic of Cuba government-operated Habaguanex (absorbed by FAR/GAESA in 2017) to manage a third property, the Hotel Santa Isabel.  Starwood Hotels and Resorts Worldwide has provided no information about the property since 2016.

The Trump Administration is expected to position publicly (the art of persuasion) that they know the companies will “do what’s right for the Cuban people.”  The “kick over the goal post” is for the companies to make unilateral non-required changes.  The White House may then embrace the effectiveness of the President’s use of the “bully pulpit.” 

There would then be pressure upon Starwood Hotels and Resorts Worldwide (and Marriott International) to modify or relinquish the management agreement with Gaviota.  

If the company did not modify the management contract, Members of Congress and the Trump Administration could target the company as undermining United States policy and acting in a manner inconsistent with United States policy, which could be used to rescind the license from the OFAC.  

All OFAC licenses are issued on the basis that they may be revised or rescinded at any time if they no longer are consistent with United States policy.  

There has yet to be an announcement from Boston, Massachusetts-based General Electric (2016 revenues exceeded US$126 billion), the largest United States-based company by far (in terms of revenue) to have engaged with the Republic of Cuba.  Although the company has not confirmed export of products or services, the government of the Republic of Cuba confirmed that the company is providing parts and equipment for a power plant.  The Obama Administration specifically authorized the transactions as advancing benefit to the citizens of the Republic of Cuba rather than to the government of the Republic of Cuba.

Important to appreciate that policy decisions by the Trump Administration relating to the Republic of Cuba resemble a quad, or perhaps a Quadrophenia.  The President remains untethered to ideology; he views issues relating to the Republic of Cuba in transactional terms and optical terms (how it looks is often more significant than what it does).  The White House Staff are substantially agnostic relating to the Republic of Cuba; there are a few- and that is all that is sometimes required, for an issue of no importance to metastasize into an issue that can be reformulated into a muscular and optically-pleasing policy initiative.  Members of The Cabinet view the Republic of Cuba as another among many issues requiring attention; but none believe that the Republic of Cuba is or should be a priority and no Secretary will singularly attach (in a defensive posture) themselves to issues relating to the Republic of Cuba and risk positioning for other issues of greater importance to their departments.  Officials and employees within Agencies and Departments share the positions of The Cabinet, but are generally supportive of a modified laissez-fare; poke and prod and baste as required for fragmented, but forward mobility.

For Members of Congress, the issue of the Republic of Cuba is both transactional and commoditized.  Although there is bipartisan support for both incremental and dynamic changes to United States statutes, no member(s) of the House of Representatives or the United States Senate will prevent “must-pass” legislation on any matter from becoming law unless issues relating to the Republic of Cuba are addressed.  No one will volunteer to be a Captain Ahab.        

How does The Honorable Paul Ryan, Speaker of the United States House of Representatives, have a role in the Starwood Hotels and Resorts International/Marriott presence in the Republic of Cuba?

http://www.cubatrade.org/blog/2016/6/11/speaker-of-the-house-paul-ryan-wants-to-rescind-starwood-hotel-management-agreement?rq=paul%20ryan
 

President Trump Hasn't Done Anything Yet.. Perhaps, That's All He Needs To Do; Did Cuba Just Blink?

Mr. Donald J. Trump, the business executive, the candidate for the nomination of the Republican Party, the nominee of the Republican Party, the winner of the presidency... during each moment delivered statements about the Republic of Cuba. 

The following might reflect what he was thinking:

"During the campaign, I made statements about my intentions relating to Cuba.  During the transition, I made statements about my intentions relating to Cuba.  Since the inauguration, I have made statements about my intentions relating to Cuba.  However, I have not done anything.

Simply with my statements, the government of Cuba has been impacted.  Governments and companies and financial institutions in other countries (an in the United States) have remained hesitant to engage with Cuba or to announce new engagements.

See how much can happen when I don’t do anything; now see what happens when I do something."

Yesterday, the anticipation of his actions resulted in the government of the Republic of Cuba being proactive, in a (valid) fearful way....

12 June 2017: Washington (CNN) The Cuban government is signaling it is willing to enter into detailed negotiations with the Trump administration as the White House prepares to announce an expected rollback of former President Barack Obama's normalization of relations with the island.

Cuban President Raul Castro is open to a brokering a new agreement with President Donald Trump, a high-level Cuban government official told CNN.  "We know they have a different view of the world. We understand that," the Cuban official said of Havana's posture toward new negotiations.

A separate Cuban government official pointed to comments made by Raul Castro in January.

"I wish to express Cuba's willingness to continue negotiating pending bilateral issues with the United States, on the basis of equality, reciprocity and respect for the sovereignty and independence of our country, and to continue the respectful dialogue and cooperation on issues of common interest with the new government of President Donald Trump," Castro said in a speech delivered less than one week after Trump was sworn into office.

Nearly five months later, the Cuban government has yet to hear what would constitute a "better deal" for Trump, the Cuban official said.

Havana, however, does not expect the Trump administration to completely reverse the Obama administration policy and shutter the US Embassy in the Cuban capital.  That would be the "nuclear option," the Cuban official said.

The official raised concerns about news reports indicating the Trump administration would clamp down on travel to the island for Americans, a measure that would inflict more economic pain on cash-strapped Cubans who are benefiting from increased US tourism to Cuba.  Such a move, the Cuban official cautioned, could destabilize improved US-Cuban relations.

Either the US and Cuba will continue to normalize relations or not, the official added.  "You cannot be half-pregnant," the official said.

Another possible route for the Trump administration could be a return to restrictions on American purchases of Cuban cigars and rum that existed before the Obama administration.  "We will sell them to somebody else," the official said.

Another Mention Of Cuba During Press Briefing At The White House

THE WHITE HOUSE
Office of the Press Secretary
For Immediate Release
June, 12, 2017

 
PRESS BRIEFING BY PRESS SECRETARY SEAN SPICER
 
James S. Brady Press Briefing Room
1:39 P.M. EST

Q    My other question was, there are widespread stories and speculation that when the President goes to Miami this Friday he will undo the executive orders from the Obama administration that eased relations with Cuba.  Can you confirm whether he will undo all of them or some of them?
 
MR. SPICER:  (Laughter.)  That's a good try.  I will say that when we have an announcement on the President's schedule, we'll let you know.  But just stay tuned.  We have a very busy week -- an ambitious agenda this week.

THE WHITE HOUSE
Office of the Press Secretary
For Immediate Release
May 30, 2017

 
PRESS BRIEFING BY PRESS SECRETARY SEAN SPICER
 
James S. Brady Press Briefing Room
 
2:11 P.M. EDT  

And my second question, I did want to mention that before he left to go abroad, the President praised Philippine President Duterte for his action against drug dealers and dealing with them. Various human rights groups have condemned President Duterte, saying that a lot of the executions of drug dealers have been done without trial.  Does the President stand by his words of praise for the Philippine President?
 
MR. SPICER:  I think the President recognizes the need to combat drugs, but he also believes in human rights.  It's something that he’s worked with several countries -- it's one of the reasons that he’s reviewing the Cuba policy, et cetera.  He wants -- human rights is something that’s very strong to him.  It's something that he’s discussed in private with several countries.

Statements From The White House About Cuba.... Chronology
http://www.cubatrade.org/blog/2017/3/12/6rhpts5hb63h4xirou3am6ycrexpbk

THE WHITE HOUSE
Office of the Press Secretary
19 March 2017

Readout of the President’s Day        
 
....  He spoke to President Michelle Bachelet of Chile to discuss our bilateral relationship, including our close cooperation on trade and security issues.  President Trump expressed concern over the situation in Venezuela, and the leaders agreed on the importance of advancing democratic principles throughout the Western Hemisphere. 

EFE
Washington, DC
8 March 2017

Excerpts from interview with Ms. Helen Aguirre Ferre, Special Assistant to the President and Director of Media Affairs at The White House....

"The president has been very clear that they are going to evaluate all the agreements that the prior administration (of Barack Obama) made with Cuba," said Aguirre Ferre, who is of Nicaraguan heritage.

...in Trump's judgment, "Cuba did not offer any concessions, with all that it was given in what has been the normalization and reestablishment of agreements and diplomatic behavior."

Cuba is hosting "fugitives from US justice, it has to turn over those people and also talk about the importance of free elections and free political prisoners," Aguirre Ferre said.

Trump's adviser avoided commenting on whether there has been any contact as yet between the Trump administration and Cuba, saying that that it a question for the State Department.

The White House
Office of the Press Secretary
For Immediate Release
16 February 2017
Remarks by President Trump in Press Conference

East Room
12:55 P.M. EST

THE PRESIDENT:  ... We had dinner with Senator [Marco] Rubio [R-Florida] and his wife, who is, by the way, lovely.  And we had a really good discussion about Cuba because we have very similar views on Cuba.  And Cuba was very good to me in the Florida election as you know, the Cuban people, Americans.  

The White House
Office of the Press Secretary
3 February 2017

Press Briefing
12:37 P.M. EST

Mr. Spicer:  With that, I’m going to go my first Skype question seat.   Jackie Nespral from NBC 6 in South Florida.  Jackie.

Question:  Good afternoon.  On behalf of the viewers of South Florida, thanks so much for this opportunity.  You know, a lot of focus on foreign affairs this week, a new sanctions announced today against Iran, and of course Miami, as you know, is home to the largest Cuban-American community in the country.  And during the campaign, President Trump talked about his discontent with the warming of U.S.-Cuba relations implemented by President Obama.  And in the last days of his administration, he ended the "wet foot, dry foot" policy, leaving thousands of Cubans in limbo.

So my question is twofold.  A, has there been any contact between your administration and the Cuban government?  And B, are there any plans to change the current policy right now?

Mr. Spicer:  Thanks, Jackie.  We are in the midst of a full review of all U.S. policies towards Cuba.  The President is committed to an agenda of ensuring human rights for all citizens throughout the world.  And as we review those policies in Cuba, that will be forefront in their policy discussions, but there is nothing that we have on that front at this point.

The White House
Office of the Press Secretary
Washington, DC
24 January 2017

Press Briefing
36:18 of 45:26

Question:  Does the President have any plans to change US policy towards Cuba there are a lot of changes that took place during the last Administration and the Executive Orders as it relates to US-Cuba relations?

Mr. Spicer:  I have to follow-up with you we've got nothing that we're ready to announce at this point.

Committee on Foreign Relations
United States Senate
Washington, DC
21 January 2017

Written answers by Mr. Rex Tillerson, nominee to be United States Secretary of State, as published by the Committee on Foreign Relations.

Question: Despite the Obama Administration’s controversial and misguided decision to normalize relations with Cuba and its hope that this could lead to improved governance and human rights, Cuban officials continue to arrest dissidents and violate the rights of citizens, and tourism revenues benefit only government officials and a small minority of the population. How do you plan to approach the United States’ relationship with Cuba? How will you support human rights defenders and democracy activists in Cuba? What bilateral and/or multilateral pressure will you exert to lessen authoritarian rule in Cuba?

Tillerson: If confirmed, I will engage with Cuba but continue to press for reform of its oppressive regime. I will support human rights defenders and democracy activists in Cuba, empower civil society, defend freedom of expression, and promote improved Internet access and I will ask our allies to do the same.

Will you continue to support programs that promote democratic voices and initiatives in Cuba like Radio and TV Marti?

Yes, if I am confirmed.

What steps will you take to pressure the Castro regime to return American political fugitives like New Jersey cop-killer Joanne Chesimard?

If confirmed, I will engage bilaterally and multilaterally to bring these fugitives to justice.

Will you work with the Treasury Department to ensure that no revenue from American businesses goes directly toward supporting the Cuban military and the regime?

Yes, if I am confirmed.

NOTE: On 9 June 2016, The Honorable Paul Ryan (R-WI), Speaker of the United States House of Representatives, issued a statement entitled, "Achieving U.S. Security Through Leadership & Liberty"  The second paragraph of the document included this sentence: "A first step should be to ban financial transactions with the Cuban military."  http://www.cubatrade.org/blog/2016/6/11/speaker-of-the-house-paul-ryan-wants-to-rescind-starwood-hotel-management-agreement?rq=Paul%20Ryan

What steps will you take to encourage the government of Cuba to release political prisoners, artists, journalists, and other Cubans being detained for politically-motivated reasons?

If confirmed, I will press Cuba to meet its pledge to become more democratic and consider placing conditions on trade or travel policies to motivate the release of political prisoners.

What steps will you take to promote judicial reform in Cuba?

I will work bilaterally and multilaterally to identify training and technical assistance opportunities to assist with judicial reform, if I am confirmed.

On October 12, 2016, PEOTUS Donald Trump stated, “The people of Cuba have struggled too long. Will reverse Obama’s Executive Orders and concessions towards Cuba until freedoms are restored.” Do you stand by PEOTUS Trump’s commitment to reverse the Obama Administration’s Cuba regulations until freedoms are restored on the island?

Yes. There will be a comprehensive review of current policies and executive orders regarding Cuba to determine how best to pressure Cuba to respect human rights and promote democratic changes.

On October 14, 2016, VPEOTUS Mike Pence reiterated this commitment by stating, “When Donald Trump and I take to the White House, we will reverse Barack Obama’s executive orders on Cuba.” Do you stand by VPEOTUS Pence’s commitment to reverse the Obama Administration’s Cuba regulations?

Yes, if I am confirmed.

United States Secretary of State Designate Rex Tillerson
United States Senate Committee on Foreign Relations
Confirmation Hearing Opening Statement
11 January 2017

Excerpts…..

Good morning.

I am honored to have the backing of Senator Cornyn and Senator Cruz from my home state of Texas. I also want to thank Senator Nunn for his commitment to nuclear non-proliferation, and Secretary Gates for his service to eight presidents and his own leadership as President of the Boy Scouts of America.

Chairman Corker, Ranking Member Cardin, and Members of the Committee, it is an honor to appear before you today as President-elect Trump’s nominee for Secretary of State and to seek the approval of this Committee and the full Senate for my confirmation.

But our leadership demands action specifically focused on improving the conditions of people the world over, utilizing both aid and economic sanctions as instruments of foreign policy when appropriate.

And we must adhere to standards of accountability. Our recent engagement with the government of Cuba was not accompanied by any significant concessions on human rights. We have not held them accountable for their conduct. Their leaders received much, while their people received little. That serves neither the interest of Cubans or Americans.

Abraham Lincoln declared that America is “the last best hope of Earth.” Our moral light must not go out if we are to remain an agent of freedom.

US Department Of State Discusses Cuba Policy Review...

Previewing Secretary Tillerson's Participation in the Conference on Prosperity and Security in Central America

Special Briefing

William R. Brownfield
Assistant Secretary, Bureau of International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs

John S. Creamer, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Cuba, Mexico, Central America, and Western Hemisphere Regional Economic Policy and Summit Issues

Via Teleconference

June 12, 2017

Excerpts:

MS NAUERT: All right. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us for today’s background call on Secretary Tillerson’s upcoming travel to Miami. He’ll be participating in the Conference on Prosperity and Security in Central America. The conference is hosted by the United States and Mexico. It will take place on June 15th and 16th, and bring together a diverse group of government and business leaders from the United States, Mexico, Central America, and other countries to address the economic, security, and governance challenges, and also opportunities, in El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras.

The Secretary will attend the first day of the conference, which will focus on prosperity and economic growth. For a deeper dive into the objectives of the conference, we have two senior State Department officials with us. We’re joined by John Creamer, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Cuba, Mexico, Central America, and Western Hemisphere Regional Economic Policy and Summit issues. We’re also joined by William Brownfield, Assistant Secretary for International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs.

MS NAUERT: (Laughter.) Okay, thank you. Thank you, gentlemen. We’ll start with Matt Lee from the Associated Press. Matt, go ahead.

QUESTION: Hi, thanks a lot, guys. I have a question about the elephant in the room here, which is Cuba, particularly given the speculation about changes in policy towards that. If, Assistant Secretary Brownfield, you’re right that the product that comes out of Central America turns right and goes – heads to Europe, that would put it – make it go right through Cuba. Can I ask why – recognizing this is a Central American and not a Caribbean thing, but why not invite them as an observer?

And secondly, I just want to make sure – Secretary Tillerson will only be there for the Thursday portion, is that correct?

MS NAUERT: Matt, let me get back to you on the Secretary’s schedule.

QUESTION: Okay.

ASSISTANT SECRETARY BROWNFIELD: And Matt, I’ll take the drug-related question that you have posed, which is the only basis upon which I will express a view on Cuba. The – at the end of the day, Cuba, along with most of the other nations in the Caribbean – in fact, all of them, I believe – is not participating in this Central America conference, I presume for the same reason that the other 14 or 15 Caribbean nations are not participating and the other 12 South American nations are not participating. It’s not a Western Hemisphere conference. It is a Central America conference and specifically a Northern Triangle conference.

MS NAUERT: Okay. Thank you. Nick Wadhams from Bloomberg.

QUESTION: Hi, thanks. Just to go back to the elephant in the room, as Matt put it, Cuba. And there are a lot of reports out there that President Trump will announce a new Cuba policy on Friday. And John, Cuba is one of your areas, so can you talk a little bit about State’s involvement in the review process on Cuba policy? Do you anticipate a change in U.S. policy toward Cuba, and what’s your recommendation on that score? Thank you.

MR CREAMER: I would just note that we have been involved in a policy review since early this year. A policy review continues. Once we have the policy review completed, the President will announce the policy at the time and place of his choosing. But right now, the review is still underway and I don’t want to talk about the specifics of the review or try and prejudge its outcome.

Okay, let’s go to Reuters. Arshad Mohammed.

QUESTION: Yeah, two quick questions. One, do you have any expectation, even if the Cuba policy review is still ongoing, do you have any expectation that that will be completed by the end of the week?

MR CREAMER: The Cuba one’s easy. I’m not going to speculate on whence policy review will be completed. It’s already – it’s gone on for a couple of months now, and it will finish when it finishes.
 

How We Got To This Friday.... And A Potential Problem Unmasked

A Washington, DC-based advocacy group promoted to journalists that the Trump Administration was expected to announce its Republic of Cuba policy in June 2017.

The goal was twofold:

First, for the advocacy group to obtain, perhaps cynically, support from its benefactors and create responses from like-minded organizations, companies, and individuals to lobby against any changes to policy. 

Second, to create the narrative that no matter what the Trump Administration’s decision relating to the Republic Cuba, the advocacy group would market that had it not been the precipitator of the initial news cycle, the decision of the Trump Administration would have been far worse; an unproveable.

Within this context, there is a political document that was presented as an economic impact analysis.  Again, with the purpose of creating an unproveable- without it, the decision of the Trump Administration would have been far worse. 

Now, there is a document obtained by journalists purporting to show a commercial relationship between the leadership of the advocacy group and a for-profit travel agency which may benefit from the non-profit and benefit the officer and director of the non-profit; and, thus be considered an (undisclosed) private benefit.  There is a report the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) of the United States Department of the Treasury is reviewing the matter:  LINK: http://search.sunbiz.org/Inquiry/CorporationSearch/SearchResultDetail?inquirytype=OfficerRegisteredAgentName&directionType=ForwardList&searchNameOrder=PEREDAARIEL%20M150000095782&aggregateId=forl-m15000009578-44220537-2426-4feb-a97c-c12698ee6bf1&searchTerm=Pereda&listNameOrder=PEREDAALEX%20P030000047792

Was the effort by the advocacy group about protecting a personal economic interest rather than the interests of the United States business community?  Maintaining no disruptions in travel to the Republic of Cuba so as not to negatively impact personal income?

With each day since 20 January 2017 without implementation of changes to United States policy and regulations that impact commercial activities of United States companies within the Republic of Cuba, executives in some industries, specifically hospitality (airlines, cruise lines, tour operators and travel agents) have announced expanded schedules and itineraries.

Their belief is the more activity in place, the less likely will be the Trump Administration to be impactful.  So, most executives would rather have a continued delay in any announcement by the Trump Administration.   

In 2015, the advocacy group supported a position by the United States Secretary of Commerce that was later invalidated by the United States Secretary of State.  The issue was whether representatives of United States-based companies could officially participate in a visit by The Honorable Penny Pritzker (and separately in 2015 by The Honorable Tom Vilsack, then-United States Secretary of Agriculture), who accepted that the answer was negative.  In early 2016, that position was reversed when representatives of United States-based companies were included in an official delegation to the Republic of Cuba led by the United States Department of State.  At the time, attorneys provided opinions that there were no statutes prohibiting the participation by representatives of United States-based companies.  The advocacy group was extraordinarily robust in its defense of Secretary Pritzker, to the detrement of United States-based companies.  LINK: http://www.cubatrade.org/blog/2016/2/3/duiselnlulovkhacjcl3s7ua3rmh6t?rq=pritzker

Want To Plan For The Impact Of Trump Administration Decision About Cuba?  Understand GAESA.

The Trump Administration is expected to discourage, restrict and perhaps prohibit transactions with entities (companies) within the Republic of Cuba that are affiliated with and/or controlled by the Revolutionary Armed Forces of the Republic of Cuba (FAR).  The most important entity is the Enterprise Administration Group (GAESA). 

LINK: http://foresightcuba.com/grupos-empresariales-del-minfar/

United States-based companies and individuals subject to United States jurisdiction should plan to avoid transactions with FAR/GAESA-related entities (companies). 

Can an individual subject to United States jurisdiction visit the Republic of Cuba and not connect in some manner with an entity controlled by and/or affiliated with FAR/GAESA?  Unlikely.

The United States Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) is expected to publish a list of entities (companies) in the Republic of Cuba that are controlled by the FAR.  These entities may be added to the OFAC’s Specially Designated Nationals And Blocked Persons (SDN) List, which could have multilateral financial transactions implications.

“If you are traveling to the Republic of Cuba, and only those who are authorized should do so, then choose carefully and direct your money directly to the Cuban people.”

The Trump Administration continues to weigh ending self-directed travel and returning to group-only travel for educational and people-to-people programs; there is also consideration to end people-to-people programs.  An end to self-directed programs would impact airlines more than cruise lines.

The airlines have benefitted from individuals traveling to the Republic of Cuba while the cruise lines prefer providing group experiences as they are more controlled and profitable.

“Too many people are hopping on planes, staying in government-owned hotels, eating in government-owned restaurants, using government-owned transportation… for a vacation.  Folks, tourism is illegal.  It’s the law.”

Expect increased enforcement by Customs and Border Protection (CBP) of the United States Department of Homeland Security. 

Travelers returning to the United States from the Republic of Cuba should be prepared to provide and have inspected all documents required by the OFAC. 

“Check the OFAC’s web site.  If you don’t have what you are supposed to have, don’t be shocked if you are delayed and miss your connecting flight.”

If a traveler is returning to the United States from the Republic of Cuba with cigars and rum, those purchases might require an additional inspection by representatives of the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA).

United States companies will be discouraged from transactions with FAR/GAESA-related entities (companies). 

If a United States-based company wants to engage a FAR/GAESA-related entity (company) in the Republic of Cuba, the United States-based company will have to demonstrate to the OFAC, United States Department of State, and Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) of the United States Department of Commerce that the deal will benefit the people of the Republic of Cuba rather than entrench the FAR within the commercial sectors of the Republic of Cuba.

“If a United States-based company wants to get into bed with the Cuban military, then be prepared to demonstrate how that will result in more freedom for the Cuban people rather than more prosperity for generals in Cuba.”

Some stakeholders will have to settle for less than they wanted and some stakeholders will have to settle for more than they wanted.

Both groups will have to accept what is initially enacted and then seek ways to make further changes. Thus, all stake holders will be disappointed that they didn't receive what they wanted.

Will President Trump Be Speaking On Friday At The Freedom Tower In Miami?

Although not officially-confirmed by The White House, media has reported that President Donald J. Trump will deliver an address in Miami, Florida, on Friday, 16 June 2017, at 5:00 pm to outline his policy towards the Republic of Cuba.  The facility is undergoing renovations, but that may not preclude use of the hall.

From The Freedom Tower Internet Site:

Constructed in 1925 as a home for The Miami News, the Freedom Tower at Miami Dade College was modeled after the Giralda Cathedral Bell Tower in Seville, Spain. Striking in its architectural detail with its octagonal tower and richly ornamented facade, it remains one of South Florida's most distinctive historic buildings.

Designated a National Historic Landmark in 2008, the building designed by George A. Fuller, Schultze & Weaver was donated by 600 Biscayne LLC and the Pedro Martin family.

Most notably in its history, MDC's Freedom Tower was operated by the U.S. government as a reception center for Cuban refugees from 1962 to 1974. The building is significant because it represents the important story of the Cuban exodus to America and resettlement during the Cold War, reports the U.S. Department of the Interior, which has also called the Freedom Tower the "Ellis Island of the South."

Though it operated in that capacity for only 12 years, the building has become an icon representing the faith that democracy brought to troubled lives, the generosity of the American people and a hopeful beginning that assured thousands a new life in a new land.

The Cuban Exile Experience & Cultural Legacy Gallery is a historical component of the MDC Museum of Art + Design. In addition to visual arts, the Museum supports exhibitions and programs that collect, preserve, research and interpret stories and artifacts that help build a better community understanding and appreciation of the Freedom Tower's history.

http://www.mdcmoad.org/freedom-tower/default.aspx

Senator Rubio Has Another Dining Experience With President Trump... Was Cuba On The Menu Along With Ravioli?

On 6 June 2017, The Honorable Marco Rubio (R- Florida) of the United States Senate, was among six Members of Congress who dined at The White House with The Honorable Donald J. Trump, President of the United States.  This was not the first dining experience between the Senator and the President.

Senator Rubio  is today the most influential member of the United States Congress with respect to Republic of Cuba-related issues.

He is the Chairman of the Subcommittee on Western Hemisphere, Transnational Crime, Civilian Security, Democracy, Human Rights, and Global Women’s Issues of the Foreign Relations Committee of the United States Senate.  He is also a member of the Committee on Appropriations, Select Committee on Intelligence, and Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship.

As he prepares for an expected second opportunity to seek the nomination of the Republican Party to be its candidate for the presidency, and continues to seek to be an influential national voice within the Republican Party, he needs to view any impact to changes in United States policies and regulations relating to the Republic of Cuba upon the State of Florida in macro-terms rather than the micro-terms of a member of the House of Representatives who focuses upon one district within a state. 

As a result, there is pragmatic distance between his public desire for substantial changes to United States policies and regulations relating to the Republic of Cuba and measured acceptance of changes to United States policies and regulations; with the measured acceptance being partially influenced by the interests of United States-based companies, specifically those operating (and employing) within the State of Florida, State of New York and State of Texas among others from which financial contributions will be sought.  Link: List of United States Companies with A Presence in The Republic of Cuba

The Honorable Marco Rubio (R- Florida)
Washington Conference on the Americas
United States Department of State
Washington, DC

9 May 2017

Excerpts from Remarks:

“I hope that we will, in a strategic way, recalculate the concessions that have been made with the dictatorship in Cuba."

“I fear that too much time has been used to placate hostile governments.”

Video of Remarks

https://www.c-span.org/video/?428237-1/senator-marco-rubio-calls-renewed-focus-western-hemisphere

Blog Post Mentioning Senator Marco Rubio & Comments About The Republic Of Cuba

23 April 2017

http://www.cubatrade.org/blog/2017/4/23/senator-rubio-on-meet-the-press-shares-about-conversation-with-nsc-staff-was-cuba-on-the-agenda?rq=Marco%20Rubio

5 April 2017

http://www.cubatrade.org/blog/2017/4/5/from-politico-usda-secretary-nominee-confirmation-delayed-due-to-cuba?rq=Marco%20Rubio

1 April 2017

http://www.cubatrade.org/blog/2017/4/1/senator-marco-rubio-r-of-florida-discusses-his-three-discussions-about-cuba-with-president-trump?rq=Marco%20Rubio

16 February 2017

http://www.cubatrade.org/blog/2017/2/27/president-trump-mentions-cuba-at-press-conference?rq=Marco%20Rubio

Airbnb Reports On First Two Years In Cuba: US$40 Million

Airbnb In Cuba By The Numbers

$40 million Paid to Cuban individuals from sharing their home, since April 2015

33 nights The average number of nights Cuban hosts share their space per year

$164 The average amount paid per booking to a Cuban host

43 years old The average age of Cuban hosts

$2,700 The average annual payout for a Cuban host

58% Of Cuban Airbnb hosts are women

Complete Report In PDF Format

A Cuban-American Republican Congressman Is Cuba’s New US$8 Billion Best Friend; President Trump Can't Get More Than 2 Cents On The Dollar?

A Cuban-American Republican Congressman Is Cuba’s New US$8 Billion Best Friend
Cuba Pays Nothing & U.S. Pays Everything
President Trump Can’t Negotiate More Than US$.02 Cents On The Dollar?  Really?
An Illegal Export Tax
Fifth Amendment Issues
Should Riceland Foods Pay Starwood Hotels
Should Cargill Pay Texaco
Should Grove Enterprises Pay InterContinental Hotels
Will Cuba Importers Have Access To US Government Financing Programs

Why are two Members of Congress from the Republican Party, one from Arkansas and the other from Florida, who present themselves as fiscally and constitutionally conservative- believing in responsibility for actions, constructing an alliance to provide a bailout to the government of the Republic of Cuba at the expense of United States-based companies?

For one, betrayal of the concept of fiscal responsibility.  For the other, betrayal of a multi-generational family-connected and colleague-connected positions requiring that the government of the Republic of Cuba be held accountable.

For those who complained, and legitimately so, that the Obama Administration provided much and received little during its two-plus years (December 2014-January 2017) of initiatives, and was, perhaps, the last lifeguard to the government of the Republic of Cuba, the Obama Administration did not provide an US$8 billion write-off and then send a collective invoice to the 322+ million residents of the United States.  That’s what two members of the United States Congress have proposed.

By withdrawing the requirement for the government of the Republic of Cuba compensate certified claimants, the United States Congress is invalidating the validity of the certified claims.  The government of the Republic of Cuba will respond that if the United States isn’t asking it to make payment, they, the certified claims, must have never been valid.

Legislators often believe themselves to be physicians and legislation is their prescription to problems.  The proposed legislation is a prescription that should remain unfilled.  The legislation solves nothing; at minimum it postpones a resolution, at maximum it establishes a multilateral terrible precedent.

Examples Of Potential Payment Transfers

Let’s examine a series of transactions and determine the fairness quotient.  In each of the following transactions, US$1 million represents 2% of the value of the product exported to Republic of Cuba government-operated Alimport.  The 2% export tax is the mechanism proposed legislation uses to repay certified claimants.  Food product and agricultural commodities are authorized on a “cash-in-advance” basis by the Trade Sanctions Reform and Export Enhancement Act (TSREEA) of 2000.   

Will the owners, shareholders and management of these exporters be comfortable with transferring revenues- potentially to a competitor?  Will there be legal action?  Fifth Amendment claims?

Stuttgart, Arkansas-based Riceland Foods sells US$50 million in rice to Alimport and pays US$1 million indirectly to Stamford, Connecticut-based Starwood Hotels & Resorts International (a subsidiary of Bethesda, Maryland-based Marriott International) which has a claim valued at approximately US$51 million.  The company manages the Four Points Sheraton Havana.

Minnetonka, Minnesota-based Cargill sells US$50 million in wheat to Alimport and pays US$1 million indirectly to White Plains, New York-based Texaco (a subsidiary of San Ramon, California-based Chevron Corporation) which has a claim valued at approximately US$28 million.

Wellesley, Massachusetts-based Grove Enterprises sells US$50 million in poultry to Alimport and pays US$1 million indirectly to Denham, United Kingdom-based InterContinental Hotels Group PLC which has a claim valued at approximately US$4.6 million.

Chicago, Illinois-based ADM sells US$50 million in corn to Alimport and pays US$1 million indirectly to Cincinnati, Ohio-based Procter & Gamble Co.

Salisbury, Maryland-based Perdue Agribusiness sells US$50 million in soybeans to Alimport and pays US$1 million indirectly to Atlanta, Georgia-based The Coca-Cola Company.

Chattanooga, Tennessee-based Koch Foods of Chattanooga sells US$50 million in poultry to Alimport and pays US$1 million indirectly to Boston, Massachusetts-based General Electric.  The company will soon announce commercial activity in the Republic of Cuba.

Atlanta, Georgia-based AJC International sells US$50 million in poultry to Alimport and pays US$1 million indirectly to Irving, Texas-based Exxon Mobil Corporation.

Bedford, Virginia-based Sellari Enterprises sells US$50 million in poultry to Alimport and pays US$1 million indirectly to Phoenix, Arizona-based Freeport McMoRan.

The result of these eight (8) transactions from a total export value of US$400 million is a payment of US$8 million to be divided among the 5,913 claims certified by the United States Foreign Claims Settlement Commission (USFCSC) valued without interest at US$1,902,202,284.95 and with interest at approximately US$8 billion.  Of the 5,913 claims certified by the USFCSC, thirty (30) companies account for approximately 57% of the value without interest.  

The US$7 million represents .037% of the original value of the certified claims and .09% of the estimated current value of the certified claims.

For reference, the following are the U.S. Dollar export values for TSREEA-related exports since the first deliveries in December 2001; the 2% export tax would represent US$106,932,095.30 from all TSREEA-related exports: 

Reporting Year
U.S. Dollar Value Of TSREEA-Authorized Exports To Cuba
Export Market Ranking

2017
US$57,313,560.00
55th (of 221)

2016
US$232,064,645.00
55th (of 232)

2015
US$170,551,329.00
60th (of 230)

2014
US$291,258,881.00
49th (of 223)

2013
US$348,747,293.00
46th (of 224)

2012
US$457,318,357.00
43rd (of 229)

2011
US$358,457,389.00
50th (of 232)

2010
US$366,467,782.00
45th (of 228)

2009
US$528,482,955.00
36th (of 232)

2008
US$710,086,323.00
29th (of 228)

2007
US$437,564,824.00
37th (of 230)

2006
US$340,433,442.00
34th (of 227)

2005
US$350,218,040.00
30th (of 228)

2004
US$391,990,382.00
25th (of 228)

2003
US$256,901,471.00
35th (of 219)

2002
US$138,634,784.00
50th (of 226)

2001
US$4,318,906.00 (December- 1st sales under TSREEA)
144th (of 226)

Total Sales US$5,346,604,765.00

These two members of the United States Congress are establishing a treacherous precedent for resolving issues of expropriation not only with the Republic of Cuba, but with other countries which may take similar actions… The new rule will be take what you want, and United States citizens will make restitution. 

Representative Rick Crawford (R- 1st District, Arkansas) believes Representative Carlos Curbelo (R- 26th District, Florida) suggested linkage of repayment for certified claimants to permitting payment terms (currently “cash-in-advance” by statute) for food products and agricultural commodity exports from the United States to the Republic of Cuba as a means of assisting, of resolving the issue of the certified claims.  Representative Crawford seems jubilant. 

Representative Curbelo created linkage to impede rather than encourage commerce with the government of the Republic of Cuba as it remains (as he expects it will through the Trump Administration) in the form that it does- with members of the Castro family and military officers substantively participating in the direction and leadership of the country. 

A goal is to retain statutory control of bilateral issues; and, specifically, retain control by the United States Congress for changing the bilateral relationship with the Republic of Cuba rather than risk the uncertainty of decisions by the Executive Branch. 

Ask the question: Why would a Cuban-American member of the United States Congress support an effort to absolve the government of the Republic of Cuba of its financial obligations when for years there was a position that “stolen property” should be returned or adequate compensation should be provided to the owner? 

Perhaps, because unknown is whether the funds that would be maintained at the United States Department of the Treasury on behalf of the certified claimants might be available to individuals who have unrelated civil judgements against the government of the Republic of Cuba. 

The 5,913 certified claimants have endured previous occupants (Democrat and Republican) of The White House redirecting funds reserved for repayment of the certified claims to satisfy civil judgements unrelated to the certified claims; and the invasion of those funds was supported by those with whom Representative Crawford is negotiating his legislation. 

If the legislation is presented to the commercially value-focused and export-advocating Trump Administration including the Secretary of Commerce and Secretary of the Treasury, along with members of the Ways & Means Committee of the United States House of Representatives as a proposal with a potential ROI (Return On Investment) of 47 years, 133 years, 200 years, 400 years, 563 years and 1,723 years; and, this ROI calculation does not consider the impact of continuing the interest on the principal value of the certified claims, what is the logical business-school-shapedresponse?  And, then add that there will be a 2% export tax.

For the legislation to have resulted in repayment to the certified claimants in 2017, the legislation would have needed to have been law during these notable dates (from recent to distant): the first Earth Day, the first roller coaster at Coney Island, the invention of the bicycle, Jamestown settlers in residence, the fall of Constantinople, and the tenure of Galerius as Emperor of Rome.

The legislation only serves Members of Congress who created it, Members of Congress who support it, and those lobbyists/activists who encourage it; the harmed are (and remain) the 5,913 companies and individuals who have certified claims against the government of the Republic of Cuba. 

This legislation is about preserving opportunities for political contributions, advocate/lobbyist fees and media coverage.  There seems to be an epidemic of courage of ignorance sweeping through certain offices in the nation’s capital….

The legislation is like a person being sick and doing everything possible to prolong the recovery.  It’s stealing from one to make payment to another.

From a philosophical perspective, United States-based companies believe that they, not the United States government, should determine the credit worthiness of a customer.  If management makes a mistake; that’s on management.  The generally-accepted codicil to that position is when financing is provided to a United States-based company by a third-party financial institution who would have a fiduciary responsibility to access the ability of a customer’s customer to repay a debt; and if repayment of the obligation is insured (provided by) in any manner by an entity affiliated with the United States government.  Representative Crawford’s legislation does envision United States-based companies accessing United States government financing/payment programs.

What should be done rather than legislation?  Request that the Trump Administration engage in direct, consistent, high-level, resolution-date-imposed, negotiations to resolve the issue of the certified claims.  The Trump Administration believes that it, through those who serve within it, specifically those with experience in the private sector, are natural negotiators.  Unleash them.

Constitutionality

There are practitioners within the legal community who present that Representative Crawford's legislation is per se unconstitutional.  See United States v. Int’l Bus. Machs. Corp., 517 U.S. 843, 846-48 (1996) “[t]he Export Clause states simply and directly: ‘No Tax or Duty shall be laid on Articles exported from any State.’ U.S. Const., Art. I, § 9, cl. 5.  There have been occasions to interpret the language of the Export Clause, but cases have broadly exempted from federal taxation not only export goods, but also services and activities closely related to the export process . . . the Export Clause strictly prohibits any tax or duty, discriminatory or not, that falls on exports during the course of exportation.” 

Mistaken Logic

Representative Crawford was quoted by the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette on 3 June 2017 offering "To my knowledge there's never been any attempt to ever address this problem before."  That statement is false. 

1) The Libertad Act of 1996 references the importance of and includes requirements for resolving the certified claims.  2) The Obama Administration placed a “high priority” upon seeking a resolution to the certified claims, although the effort was comical: two meetings in two years where a second meeting was not scheduled after the first meeting and a third meeting was not scheduled after the second meeting.  3) Representatives of United States companies with certified claims have visited the Republic of Cuba and met with representatives of the government of the Republic of Cuba; the Libertad Act provides a mechanism for private settlements- one of which has been in the public domain relating to telecommunications services.  4) There has been consideration of the value in obtaining the services of a mediator: http://www.cubatrade.org/blog/2016/12/1/zigs56x0gme3a9rqg7aecx9vf2gqgk?rq=feinberg

There is another reason “there's never been any attempt to ever address this problem before."  The logic at the foundation of the attempt is misguided- it focuses upon “let’s do anything” as the basis for a solution rather than analyzing the rationality and practicality for delivering upon the premise. 

There is commentary from an advocate that the legislation will “make it easier for Americans to sell food to private Cuban citizens…,” The Obama Administration authorized United States-based companies to export products and services directly to registered independent businesses (entities) in the Republic of Cuba; the government of the Republic of Cuba has not authorized that initiative despite efforts by officials of the Obama Administration, Members of Congress and from representatives of United States companies. 

The lack of selling “food to private Cuban citizens” is not solely due to the “cash in advance” requirements of the TSREEA, it is a result of prohibitions by the government of the Republic of Cuba- which also extend to other products that the Obama Administration authorized for export (with payment terms) to registered independent businesses (entities) in the Republic of Cuba. 

The published text of H.R. 525 states “there is no opportunity for United States agricultural businesses to trade directly with the Cuban people and there is no Cuban market; United States businesses have only one venue to trade with Cuba and that is through ALIMPORT, the state-owned and state-controlled entity.”  That statement is correct because the government of the Republic of Cuba has refused to authorize United States-based companies to export directly to individuals and entities other than Alimport.  The prohibition is not a result of United States statute or regulation; it’s a result of the policy of the government of the Republic of Cuba. 

Historically, the United States business community privately favored the “cash-in-advance” provision of the TSREEA due to routine defaults (and/or rescheduling) on credit purchases by the government of the Republic of Cuba.

However, the United States business community does not support relieving the government of the Republic of Cuba of its obligation to the certified claimants.  The legislation supported by Representatives Crawford and Curbelo creates an additional impediment to resolving an existing problem.

The legislation as currently written seems to provide an opportunity for the Republic of Cuba to access United States taxpayer-funded and taxpayer-guaranteed financing programs.  The government of the Republic of Cuba has always viewed access to government export programs as the “holy grail” of their advocacy efforts.  Why have Members of Congress accepted what has traditionally been anathema to them?  Why has this enormously significant change in policy not been publicized by Representatives Crawford and Curbelo?  Link to United States government programs:http://www.cubatrade.org/blog/2016/3/20/8iiwr41blj6mzfk8w921iadkexhmze?rq=government%20programs

Is this a realistic trajectory?

For 2017, the Republic of Cuba expects to import approximately US$1.8 billion to US$2 billion in food products and agricultural commodities compared to approximately US$1.8 billion in 2016 and 2015, US$2.5 billion in 2014; compared to approximately US$2.5 billion in 2008 and US$1.5 billion in 2007.  The funds spent change with available foreign exchange and due to changes in commodity prices, with lower commodity prices still resulting in adequate quantities, but requiring lower expenditures. 

There are those who view the Republic of Cuba through a prism which shows a country that they believe to exist, but does not. 

How can a credible argument be made that the United States will supplant virtually all existing importing sources within one year?  But, the logic gets even more spectacular….

According to the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette on 3 June 2017, “The original version of HR525, the Cuba Agricultural Exports Act, didn't include the fee when it was filed in January.  In an interview Friday, Crawford said he plans to file an amended version of his legislation next week to reflect the change. The lawmaker estimates the 2-percent fee would generate roughly $30 million per year initially, rising to perhaps $60 million within five to seven years.”

For US$30 million to equal 2% of the value for all food product and agricultural commodity exports from the United States to the Republic of Cuba, the total value of those exports would need to be US$1.5 billion, which Representative Crawford was reported to believe would be the “within five to seven years.” 

For US$60 million to equal 2% of the value for all food product and agricultural commodity exports from the United States to the Republic of Cuba, the total value of those exports would need to be US$3 billion, which Representative Crawford was reported to believe would be the “within five to seven years.” 

How does any reputable economist evaluate the commercial, economic and political structures of the Republic of Cuba, as they exist today, and suggest that the country has a trajectory to increase imports of food products and agricultural commodities at an annual rate of 10% or more... and these would be imports only from the United States.  What about the Republic of Cuba’s current sources of imports?  Particularly, Vietnam which provides two years to make payment for rice?  And, what about other countries where the Republic of Cuba, and the exporters, access government guarantees and access programs with provide for extended payment terms generally far exceeding commercial payment terms? 

Has the government of the Republic of Cuba provided any public statement(s) as to whether they are prepared to increase purchases of food products and agricultural commodities from the United States if they are permitted to seek and then accept payment terms? 

Has the government of the Republic of Cuba provided any public statement(s) as to what payment terms they would require as a condition to increase the value of purchases?  30-days, 60-days, 90-days, 120-days, 180-days, 360-days, 720-days?

Today, as has been the constant during the last five-to-ten years, extended payment terms for almost every product or service that is imported by Republic of Cuba government-operated companies, with the standard payment terms ranging from 180-days to 360-days. 

Individuals and companies who work with and represent non-United States-based companies which export products and services to the Republic of Cuba posit that if United States-based companies provided 30-day repayment terms for food product and agricultural commodity exports, the result may be a 5% to 10% increase in the total value of exports to the Republic of Cuba; with primary beneficiaries exporters/distributors located in the State of Florida who can swiftly process and deliver food products (primarily for use in the hospitality sector) when inventories are unexpectedly depleted and replenishment from sources in Canada, Panama, and on the European Continent would result in further delays- even though the payment terms might be more advantageous. 

If United States companies (with or without the support of United States financial institutions) were to provide payment terms of at minimum 180-days, but nearing or 360-days, then, perhaps, primarily agricultural commodity exports could be US$1 billion.

Until all that is considered by the government of the Republic of Cuba to be defined as “the embargo” is removed, likely market share for United States-based companies will be limited and the interest of United States-based companies will continue to be used as bait to entice interests in other countries. 

However, the limitation will remain a limitation until the Republic of Cuba embraces fundamental commercial, economic and political changes which will increase public sector and private sector efficiencies and productiveness.

Thus far, however, none of the United States companies who have exported food products and agricultural commodities to the Republic of Cuba have publicly reported what payment terms they would offer if permitted to offer payment terms.  And, United States financial institutions have not reported that they would provide financing for exports to the Republic of Cuba.  Stating those positions would be helpful.

List Of Largest Certified Claimants:

https://static1.squarespace.com/static/563a4585e4b00d0211e8dd7e/t/57964e93e3df283b116047c9/1469468308537/CLAIMS.pdf

Complete Analysis In PDF Format